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俄罗斯副总理诺瓦克(Alexander Novak)在一份声明中表示:“我们不会向那些直接或间接遵守价格上限原则的国家出售石油。”“与此相关,俄罗斯将在3月份主动减少50万桶/天的产量。这将有助于恢复市场关系。”

此次减产相当于俄罗斯石油产量的5%。

全球基准布伦特原油期货价格周五上涨1.7%,至每桶86美元,因交易员预计全球供应将收紧。美国石油价格也上涨1.7%,至每桶79美元。

去年6月,欧盟同意在接下来的六个月内逐步停止从俄罗斯进口所有海上原油,这是西方前所未有的制裁措施的一部分,旨在削弱莫斯科为乌克兰战争提供资金的能力。

俄罗斯石油供应的下降将意味着,欧洲、英国和其他西方国家目前所需要的来自中东等其他地区的石油供应将面临更激烈的竞争。

为了进一步收紧管制,七国集团(G7)国家和欧盟(eu)在去年12月同意,限制西方经纪商、保险公司和船运公司将俄罗斯海运石油以每桶60美元的价格交易到其他市场。本月早些时候,欧盟国家还禁止从俄罗斯进口柴油和成品油。

全球需求上升?

诺瓦克警告说,原油价格上限可能导致“石油行业投资减少,从而导致石油短缺。”

石油数据公司OilX的高级分析师尼尔·克罗斯比告诉CNN,每天减产50万桶并不是“最坏的情况”,对俄罗斯产量的影响仍然小于大多数分析师去年的预期。

Crosby称,”但这为必要时或俄罗斯当局希望进一步减产开辟了先例。”他补充称,莫斯科可能预计很难找到足够的原油需求。

Wood Mackenzie负责炼油、化工和石油市场的副总裁艾伦·盖尔德(Alan Gelder)说:“俄罗斯目前的原油买家有限,短期内可能会发现出口销售的上限,主要是对中国和印度。” 据路透社(Reuters)报道,俄罗斯决定减少其产出,而不咨询欧佩克+集团,其中包括沙特阿拉伯。石油输出国组织(OPEC,简称欧佩克)在10月份决定,将每天减产200万桶,此后也没有调整这一立场。全球石油供应的减少将在一个棘手的时刻到来。中国在12月迅速重新开放经济,在经历了近3年的严格的冠状病毒限制后,中国对全球石油需求的估计增加了。上个月,国际能源署(International Energy Agency)表示,预计全球需求将达到每天190万桶,达到每天10170万桶的历史新高,中国占了增长的近一半。西方的制裁——增加了战争的磨耗——正在拖累俄罗斯的经济。该国去年的预算赤字激增到450亿美元,相当于国内生产总值的2.3%。但俄罗斯央行(central bank)周五将其主要利率下调至7.5%,称经济活动优于预期,今年可能会出现通货膨胀。█

(消息来源:CNN)

俄罗斯削减石油产量以回应西方制裁》有 5,154 条评论

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